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8 of 8 matches with xG: 27 goals from 25.9 xG (1.04 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk 3–1 KV Mechelen | 1.67–0.58 | 64% · 24% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Kortrijk |
| Club Brugge 4–1 Dender | 2.92–0.51 | 86% · 10% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| Charleroi 1–1 Standard Liege | 1.99–1.08 | 58% · 21% · 20% | Draw against the xG: Charleroi had 58% |
| St. Truiden 2–2 Genk | 1.60–1.16 | 48% · 25% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Beerschot VA 3–2 Cercle Brugge | 2.94–1.76 | 62% · 17% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Beerschot VA |
| OH Leuven 0–0 Anderlecht | 1.06–0.96 | 37% · 31% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Union Saint-Gilloise 2–1 Antwerp | 1.42–0.97 | 47% · 27% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| KVC Westerlo 2–2 Gent | 2.65–2.60 | 42% · 18% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.