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8 of 8 matches with xG: 20 goals from 24.3 xG (0.82 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genk 3–2 Kortrijk | 2.10–1.38 | 54% · 21% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Genk |
| Standard Liege 1–1 OH Leuven | 1.71–1.03 | 53% · 24% · 23% | Draw against the xG: Standard Liege had 53% |
| KV Mechelen 1–2 Club Brugge | 1.46–2.33 | 23% · 20% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| Gent 2–0 St. Truiden | 1.09–0.97 | 38% · 30% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Gent |
| Antwerp 1–3 Charleroi | 1.91–3.49 | 18% · 14% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Charleroi |
| Cercle Brugge 0–0 Union Saint-Gilloise | 2.10–0.47 | 76% · 17% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Cercle Brugge had 76% |
| Anderlecht 2–1 Beerschot VA | 1.59–0.96 | 52% · 25% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Anderlecht |
| Dender 1–0 KVC Westerlo | 0.87–0.80 | 35% · 34% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Dender |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.