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8 of 8 matches with xG: 16 goals from 25.4 xG (0.63 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| KV Mechelen 1–1 Antwerp | 0.87–1.25 | 26% · 29% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
| Beerschot VA 0–0 Standard Liege | 1.41–1.22 | 41% · 26% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| OH Leuven 1–0 Charleroi | 0.41–1.30 | 12% · 29% · 59% | Won against the xG: OH Leuven |
| Kortrijk 0–3 Dender | 0.72–1.64 | 16% · 24% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Dender |
| Club Brugge 2–0 Genk | 2.10–1.04 | 62% · 20% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| Union Saint-Gilloise 3–1 KVC Westerlo | 4.28–0.76 | 92% · 5% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| St. Truiden 0–2 Anderlecht | 2.23–3.52 | 22% · 15% · 63% | Win in line with xG for Anderlecht |
| Gent 1–1 Cercle Brugge | 1.32–1.31 | 37% · 26% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.