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8 of 8 matches with xG: 21 goals from 21.0 xG (1.00 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| KVC Westerlo 1–1 KV Mechelen | 1.60–1.21 | 46% · 25% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Charleroi 2–1 St. Truiden | 1.86–0.91 | 60% · 22% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Charleroi |
| Dender 1–3 Antwerp | 0.65–0.67 | 30% · 40% · 31% | Close call, Antwerp won |
| Beerschot VA 2–2 Kortrijk | 1.50–1.39 | 40% · 25% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Genk 2–0 Anderlecht | 2.27–0.41 | 80% · 15% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Genk |
| Standard Liege 0–1 Gent | 1.08–2.48 | 15% · 17% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Gent |
| Union Saint-Gilloise 2–2 Club Brugge | 1.07–1.90 | 21% · 22% · 57% | Draw against the xG: Club Brugge had 57% |
| Cercle Brugge 1–0 OH Leuven | 1.20–0.76 | 46% · 30% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Cercle Brugge |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.