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8 of 8 matches with xG: 25 goals from 24.8 xG (1.01 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp 2–2 Genk | 1.29–3.21 | 12% · 13% · 75% | Draw against the xG: Genk had 75% |
| Club Brugge 4–3 KVC Westerlo | 2.03–1.20 | 57% · 21% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| Kortrijk 0–1 Charleroi | 1.38–1.48 | 35% · 25% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Charleroi |
| KV Mechelen 0–0 Standard Liege | 1.74–0.92 | 57% · 24% · 20% | Draw against the xG: KV Mechelen had 57% |
| Gent 1–3 Union Saint-Gilloise | 0.58–1.84 | 11% · 21% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| OH Leuven 2–0 Beerschot VA | 1.73–0.63 | 64% · 23% · 13% | Win in line with xG for OH Leuven |
| Anderlecht 2–3 Dender | 1.89–2.33 | 32% · 20% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Dender |
| St. Truiden 1–1 Cercle Brugge | 2.16–0.34 | 80% · 15% · 5% | Draw against the xG: St. Truiden had 80% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.