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8 of 8 matches with xG: 15 goals from 22.6 xG (0.66 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege 1–0 Kortrijk | 1.66–1.78 | 36% · 22% · 41% | Close call, Standard Liege won |
| KVC Westerlo 1–2 St. Truiden | 2.07–0.77 | 68% · 20% · 13% | Won against the xG: St. Truiden |
| Genk 2–0 OH Leuven | 2.82–1.81 | 59% · 17% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Genk |
| Charleroi 1–2 Union Saint-Gilloise | 0.69–1.27 | 20% · 29% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| Beerschot VA 1–1 Antwerp | 1.86–0.77 | 63% · 22% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Beerschot VA had 63% |
| Dender 0–0 Gent | 0.58–1.17 | 18% · 31% · 50% | Draw against the xG: Gent had 50% |
| Anderlecht 0–3 Club Brugge | 1.15–1.46 | 30% · 26% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| Cercle Brugge 1–0 KV Mechelen | 1.67–1.05 | 52% · 24% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Cercle Brugge |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.