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8 of 8 matches with xG: 23 goals from 22.7 xG (1.01 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gent 1–1 Charleroi | 0.54–0.83 | 22% · 38% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Dender 0–1 Cercle Brugge | 0.28–2.35 | 3% · 13% · 84% | Win in line with xG for Cercle Brugge |
| KV Mechelen 1–2 Genk | 0.59–0.72 | 26% · 40% · 34% | Close call, Genk won |
| Club Brugge 4–2 Beerschot VA | 2.91–1.82 | 60% · 17% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| Kortrijk 0–2 Anderlecht | 0.93–1.22 | 28% · 29% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Anderlecht |
| Union Saint-Gilloise 1–0 OH Leuven | 2.69–0.39 | 86% · 11% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| St. Truiden 1–2 Standard Liege | 1.44–2.43 | 22% · 19% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Standard Liege |
| Antwerp 3–2 KVC Westerlo | 1.34–2.21 | 23% · 20% · 57% | Won against the xG: Antwerp |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.