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8 of 8 matches with xG: 19 goals from 23.4 xG (0.81 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Truiden 1–1 Antwerp | 2.53–1.38 | 62% · 18% · 19% | Draw against the xG: St. Truiden had 62% |
| KVC Westerlo 1–2 Genk | 1.24–0.74 | 48% · 30% · 22% | Won against the xG: Genk |
| Charleroi 1–1 Cercle Brugge | 0.69–1.38 | 19% · 28% · 54% | Draw against the xG: Cercle Brugge had 54% |
| Club Brugge 1–1 Kortrijk | 2.70–0.75 | 78% · 14% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Club Brugge had 78% |
| Standard Liege 1–0 Dender | 1.33–1.33 | 37% · 26% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Standard Liege |
| Beerschot VA 0–4 Union Saint-Gilloise | 0.24–2.70 | 2% · 9% · 89% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| Anderlecht 4–1 KV Mechelen | 1.86–1.96 | 37% · 21% · 41% | Close call, Anderlecht won |
| OH Leuven 0–0 Gent | 1.11–1.50 | 28% · 26% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.