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8 of 8 matches with xG: 19 goals from 24.6 xG (0.77 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| OH Leuven 1–0 KV Mechelen | 0.85–2.61 | 10% · 15% · 75% | Won against the xG: OH Leuven |
| Charleroi 5–0 Dender | 2.84–0.27 | 89% · 9% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Charleroi |
| Cercle Brugge 1–1 Standard Liege | 1.44–0.95 | 48% · 27% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Genk 1–0 Beerschot VA | 2.31–0.29 | 83% · 13% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Genk |
| Antwerp 2–1 Club Brugge | 0.68–3.35 | 4% · 9% · 87% | Won against the xG: Antwerp |
| Union Saint-Gilloise 2–1 St. Truiden | 3.07–1.26 | 74% · 14% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| Gent 1–0 Anderlecht | 0.83–0.71 | 35% · 36% · 28% | Close call, Gent won |
| Kortrijk 1–2 KVC Westerlo | 1.21–1.97 | 23% · 22% · 55% | Win in line with xG for KVC Westerlo |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.