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8 of 8 matches with xG: 26 goals from 27.4 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| KV Mechelen 3–3 Gent | 2.47–1.89 | 51% · 19% · 30% | Draw against the xG: KV Mechelen had 51% |
| Club Brugge 1–0 OH Leuven | 2.03–0.27 | 80% · 16% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| Dender 2–1 St. Truiden | 1.82–1.68 | 42% · 22% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Dender |
| Genk 2–1 Cercle Brugge | 2.71–0.56 | 82% · 12% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Genk |
| Anderlecht 2–0 Antwerp | 2.13–0.57 | 74% · 18% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Anderlecht |
| Kortrijk 1–2 Union Saint-Gilloise | 0.75–2.15 | 12% · 19% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| KVC Westerlo 4–2 Standard Liege | 2.62–2.21 | 48% · 18% · 34% | Win in line with xG for KVC Westerlo |
| Beerschot VA 1–1 Charleroi | 1.46–2.05 | 27% · 21% · 51% | Draw against the xG: Charleroi had 51% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.