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8 of 8 matches with xG: 24 goals from 27.3 xG (0.88 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege 1–2 Genk | 1.56–1.57 | 38% · 24% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Genk |
| OH Leuven 3–2 Dender | 1.76–2.46 | 27% · 19% · 53% | Won against the xG: OH Leuven |
| Antwerp 2–1 Kortrijk | 1.44–1.30 | 40% · 26% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Antwerp |
| St. Truiden 2–2 Club Brugge | 0.97–2.59 | 12% · 16% · 72% | Draw against the xG: Club Brugge had 72% |
| Gent 3–2 Beerschot VA | 3.06–2.16 | 57% · 17% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Gent |
| Union Saint-Gilloise 0–1 KV Mechelen | 2.01–1.14 | 57% · 21% · 21% | Won against the xG: KV Mechelen |
| Charleroi 0–1 Anderlecht | 0.51–0.80 | 22% · 39% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Anderlecht |
| Cercle Brugge 1–1 KVC Westerlo | 2.96–0.98 | 77% · 13% · 9% | Draw against the xG: Cercle Brugge had 77% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.