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8 of 8 matches with xG: 17 goals from 17.1 xG (1.00 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| KV Mechelen 1–1 St. Truiden | 0.26–0.55 | 14% · 51% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Dender 0–0 Beerschot VA | 0.44–1.40 | 12% · 27% · 61% | Draw against the xG: Beerschot VA had 61% |
| KVC Westerlo 1–3 Charleroi | 0.19–2.05 | 3% · 15% · 82% | Win in line with xG for Charleroi |
| Antwerp 2–2 OH Leuven | 1.48–0.92 | 50% · 26% · 23% | Draw against the xG: Antwerp had 50% |
| Club Brugge 1–2 Standard Liege | 1.77–1.92 | 36% · 22% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Standard Liege |
| Genk 0–0 Gent | 1.01–1.24 | 30% · 28% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| Anderlecht 0–2 Union Saint-Gilloise | 0.95–1.28 | 28% · 28% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| Kortrijk 1–1 Cercle Brugge | 1.33–0.29 | 64% · 28% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Kortrijk had 64% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.