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8 of 8 matches with xG: 24 goals from 23.4 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp 1–1 Union Saint-Gilloise | 0.52–2.19 | 7% · 17% · 76% | Draw against the xG: Union Saint-Gilloise had 76% |
| Dender 0–0 Cercle Brugge | 1.21–1.25 | 35% · 27% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| Zulte Waregem 1–1 KV Mechelen | 2.08–0.50 | 75% · 18% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Zulte Waregem had 75% |
| RAAL La Louvière 0–2 Standard Liege | 0.84–1.73 | 18% · 24% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Standard Liege |
| Anderlecht 5–2 KVC Westerlo | 2.83–0.81 | 79% · 13% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Anderlecht |
| OH Leuven 2–2 Charleroi | 1.07–1.56 | 26% · 25% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Club Brugge 2–1 Genk | 2.18–1.77 | 48% · 20% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| St. Truiden 3–1 Gent | 1.24–1.61 | 29% · 25% · 46% | Won against the xG: St. Truiden |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.