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8 of 8 matches with xG: 21 goals from 19.2 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| KV Mechelen 2–1 Club Brugge | 2.04–2.04 | 40% · 20% · 40% | Close call, KV Mechelen won |
| KVC Westerlo 3–1 Zulte Waregem | 1.22–0.80 | 46% · 30% · 24% | Win in line with xG for KVC Westerlo |
| Standard Liege 1–1 Dender | 1.20–0.57 | 52% · 31% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Standard Liege had 52% |
| Gent 1–0 RAAL La Louvière | 1.46–0.25 | 69% · 25% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Gent |
| Genk 1–1 Antwerp | 1.57–0.48 | 64% · 25% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Genk had 64% |
| Cercle Brugge 0–2 Anderlecht | 0.64–1.86 | 12% · 21% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Anderlecht |
| Union Saint-Gilloise 5–0 OH Leuven | 2.88–0.29 | 89% · 9% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| Charleroi 1–1 St. Truiden | 0.34–1.59 | 8% · 23% · 69% | Draw against the xG: St. Truiden had 69% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.