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8 of 8 matches with xG: 23 goals from 25.3 xG (0.91 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Truiden 2–0 Dender | 2.70–0.53 | 83% · 12% · 5% | Win in line with xG for St. Truiden |
| Club Brugge 2–0 Cercle Brugge | 1.75–1.13 | 52% · 24% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| KVC Westerlo 0–1 KV Mechelen | 1.61–0.85 | 55% · 25% · 20% | Won against the xG: KV Mechelen |
| Gent 2–3 Union Saint-Gilloise | 1.36–3.50 | 11% · 12% · 77% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| RAAL La Louvière 1–0 Charleroi | 0.80–1.03 | 28% · 32% · 40% | Close call, RAAL La Louvière won |
| Anderlecht 2–3 Zulte Waregem | 2.79–1.84 | 58% · 18% · 25% | Won against the xG: Zulte Waregem |
| Standard Liege 2–1 Genk | 1.89–1.26 | 52% · 22% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Standard Liege |
| Antwerp 3–1 OH Leuven | 1.99–0.24 | 80% · 17% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Antwerp |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.