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8 of 8 matches with xG: 21 goals from 22.1 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| OH Leuven 1–2 Genk | 1.81–1.23 | 51% · 23% · 26% | Won against the xG: Genk |
| Zulte Waregem 0–1 Club Brugge | 0.15–1.03 | 5% · 36% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| KV Mechelen 1–1 Gent | 1.22–1.55 | 30% · 25% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
| Union Saint-Gilloise 3–0 Standard Liege | 3.33–0.48 | 90% · 7% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| Dender 0–2 Anderlecht | 0.83–2.11 | 14% · 19% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Anderlecht |
| St. Truiden 2–1 RAAL La Louvière | 1.69–1.26 | 47% · 24% · 29% | Win in line with xG for St. Truiden |
| Charleroi 1–1 Antwerp | 0.99–0.84 | 38% · 32% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Cercle Brugge 4–1 KVC Westerlo | 2.06–1.48 | 51% · 21% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Cercle Brugge |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.