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8 of 8 matches with xG: 25 goals from 26.3 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege 3–1 Charleroi | 1.37–1.75 | 30% · 23% · 47% | Close call, Standard Liege won |
| Zulte Waregem 1–4 Union Saint-Gilloise | 1.65–4.59 | 8% · 8% · 84% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| Club Brugge 2–1 Dender | 1.39–1.17 | 42% · 26% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| Anderlecht 3–1 KV Mechelen | 1.95–1.17 | 56% · 22% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Anderlecht |
| KVC Westerlo 0–1 Genk | 0.91–0.82 | 36% · 34% · 31% | Close call, Genk won |
| OH Leuven 4–0 Gent | 1.42–2.30 | 23% · 20% · 57% | Won against the xG: OH Leuven |
| St. Truiden 1–0 Antwerp | 2.56–0.54 | 81% · 13% · 6% | Win in line with xG for St. Truiden |
| RAAL La Louvière 2–1 Cercle Brugge | 0.80–1.87 | 15% · 22% · 63% | Won against the xG: RAAL La Louvière |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.