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8 of 8 matches with xG: 16 goals from 24.4 xG (0.66 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charleroi 1–0 Anderlecht | 1.12–1.32 | 32% · 27% · 41% | Close call, Charleroi won |
| KVC Westerlo 1–1 Dender | 1.97–1.76 | 43% · 21% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| KV Mechelen 1–1 OH Leuven | 1.56–1.57 | 38% · 24% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Gent 4–0 Standard Liege | 1.77–0.94 | 57% · 23% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Gent |
| Antwerp 0–1 Club Brugge | 1.28–0.65 | 52% · 29% · 19% | Won against the xG: Club Brugge |
| Cercle Brugge 1–1 Zulte Waregem | 2.31–1.80 | 50% · 20% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Genk 1–1 RAAL La Louvière | 1.37–1.34 | 38% · 26% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Union Saint-Gilloise 2–0 St. Truiden | 1.67–1.93 | 34% · 22% · 44% | Close call, Union Saint-Gilloise won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.