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8 of 8 matches with xG: 23 goals from 21.7 xG (1.06 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| RAAL La Louvière 0–0 KVC Westerlo | 0.52–0.58 | 26% · 44% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| OH Leuven 0–1 Club Brugge | 0.76–0.99 | 27% · 33% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| Union Saint-Gilloise 3–1 Charleroi | 0.94–0.72 | 39% · 34% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| Cercle Brugge 2–2 Genk | 2.85–1.78 | 60% · 17% · 23% | Draw against the xG: Cercle Brugge had 60% |
| Dender 1–3 KV Mechelen | 3.20–1.11 | 78% · 12% · 10% | Won against the xG: KV Mechelen |
| St. Truiden 2–2 Anderlecht | 1.15–1.16 | 36% · 28% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Zulte Waregem 4–1 Gent | 2.02–1.90 | 42% · 21% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Zulte Waregem |
| Standard Liege 1–0 Antwerp | 0.40–1.60 | 9% · 24% · 67% | Won against the xG: Standard Liege |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.