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8 of 8 matches with xG: 16 goals from 21.8 xG (0.73 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gent 2–1 Charleroi | 0.70–0.34 | 40% · 44% · 16% | Close call, Gent won |
| KV Mechelen 1–3 St. Truiden | 1.18–3.40 | 9% · 12% · 79% | Win in line with xG for St. Truiden |
| RAAL La Louvière 0–0 Zulte Waregem | 1.27–0.27 | 63% · 29% · 8% | Draw against the xG: RAAL La Louvière had 63% |
| Antwerp 1–1 Cercle Brugge | 2.07–1.08 | 60% · 21% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Antwerp had 60% |
| Anderlecht 1–0 Standard Liege | 1.93–0.64 | 68% · 20% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Anderlecht |
| Genk 2–1 Dender | 2.19–1.75 | 48% · 20% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Genk |
| Club Brugge 1–0 Union Saint-Gilloise | 0.47–0.37 | 28% · 51% · 21% | Close call, Club Brugge won |
| KVC Westerlo 2–0 OH Leuven | 2.97–1.15 | 74% · 14% · 12% | Win in line with xG for KVC Westerlo |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.