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8 of 8 matches with xG: 20 goals from 20.7 xG (0.97 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| OH Leuven 1–1 Anderlecht | 1.76–0.75 | 62% · 23% · 16% | Draw against the xG: OH Leuven had 62% |
| Zulte Waregem 2–0 Antwerp | 1.72–0.59 | 65% · 23% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Zulte Waregem |
| Standard Liege 1–2 Club Brugge | 1.21–1.38 | 33% · 26% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| Union Saint-Gilloise 2–0 KVC Westerlo | 2.24–0.29 | 82% · 14% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| St. Truiden 1–2 Genk | 1.52–1.80 | 33% · 23% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Genk |
| Cercle Brugge 2–4 Gent | 2.37–2.06 | 46% · 19% · 35% | Close call, Gent won |
| Charleroi 0–2 KV Mechelen | 0.59–1.03 | 21% · 34% · 46% | Win in line with xG for KV Mechelen |
| Dender 0–0 RAAL La Louvière | 0.51–0.89 | 20% · 37% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.