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8 of 8 matches with xG: 16 goals from 17.1 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gent 3–0 Dender | 1.70–1.08 | 52% · 24% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Gent |
| OH Leuven 1–2 RAAL La Louvière | 0.53–1.28 | 15% · 29% · 55% | Win in line with xG for RAAL La Louvière |
| Charleroi 1–2 Zulte Waregem | 0.79–1.36 | 22% · 28% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Zulte Waregem |
| Anderlecht 0–0 Antwerp | 0.98–0.44 | 48% · 36% · 16% | Draw in line with xG |
| Genk 1–2 Union Saint-Gilloise | 1.10–0.66 | 46% · 32% · 22% | Won against the xG: Union Saint-Gilloise |
| KVC Westerlo 0–2 Standard Liege | 1.32–0.44 | 59% · 29% · 12% | Won against the xG: Standard Liege |
| Club Brugge 2–0 St. Truiden | 2.31–0.42 | 80% · 15% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| KV Mechelen 0–0 Cercle Brugge | 0.99–1.69 | 22% · 24% · 54% | Draw against the xG: Cercle Brugge had 54% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.