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8 of 8 matches with xG: 19 goals from 21.6 xG (0.88 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege 1–1 KV Mechelen | 1.16–1.30 | 33% · 27% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Zulte Waregem 2–0 OH Leuven | 1.47–1.71 | 33% · 23% · 43% | Close call, Zulte Waregem won |
| Dender 0–1 Union Saint-Gilloise | 0.09–1.82 | 2% · 17% · 81% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| RAAL La Louvière 1–0 Club Brugge | 0.58–1.89 | 11% · 21% · 69% | Won against the xG: RAAL La Louvière |
| Antwerp 1–2 Gent | 1.20–1.57 | 29% · 25% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Gent |
| Cercle Brugge 2–3 Charleroi | 1.80–1.30 | 49% · 23% · 28% | Won against the xG: Charleroi |
| Anderlecht 1–1 Genk | 0.96–1.28 | 28% · 28% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
| St. Truiden 0–3 KVC Westerlo | 1.11–2.34 | 17% · 19% · 65% | Win in line with xG for KVC Westerlo |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.