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8 of 8 matches with xG: 23 goals from 23.9 xG (0.96 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cercle Brugge 1–1 St. Truiden | 1.27–2.06 | 23% · 21% · 56% | Draw against the xG: St. Truiden had 56% |
| KV Mechelen 3–2 RAAL La Louvière | 2.39–0.80 | 73% · 17% · 11% | Win in line with xG for KV Mechelen |
| KVC Westerlo 2–0 Antwerp | 2.67–2.00 | 53% · 18% · 29% | Win in line with xG for KVC Westerlo |
| Charleroi 3–1 Dender | 1.89–0.54 | 70% · 20% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Charleroi |
| Gent 1–1 Club Brugge | 0.70–2.13 | 11% · 19% · 70% | Draw against the xG: Club Brugge had 70% |
| OH Leuven 1–0 Standard Liege | 0.39–0.29 | 25% · 57% · 18% | Close call, OH Leuven won |
| Union Saint-Gilloise 2–0 Anderlecht | 2.24–0.78 | 71% · 18% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| Genk 3–2 Zulte Waregem | 2.45–1.32 | 62% · 18% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Genk |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.