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8 of 8 matches with xG: 15 goals from 21.9 xG (0.69 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| KV Mechelen 0–1 Standard Liege | 0.44–1.11 | 15% · 33% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Standard Liege |
| Dender 2–2 KVC Westerlo | 0.73–3.44 | 4% · 9% · 87% | Draw against the xG: KVC Westerlo had 87% |
| Zulte Waregem 1–1 Cercle Brugge | 1.69–0.78 | 59% · 24% · 17% | Draw against the xG: Zulte Waregem had 59% |
| Charleroi 0–0 RAAL La Louvière | 1.42–0.49 | 60% · 27% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Charleroi had 60% |
| Club Brugge 0–1 Antwerp | 2.00–1.78 | 44% · 21% · 35% | Close call, Antwerp won |
| Genk 2–1 OH Leuven | 1.88–0.81 | 63% · 22% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Genk |
| Anderlecht 1–0 Union Saint-Gilloise | 0.42–0.87 | 17% · 39% · 44% | Won against the xG: Anderlecht |
| Gent 1–2 St. Truiden | 1.19–2.84 | 13% · 15% · 72% | Win in line with xG for St. Truiden |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.