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8 of 8 matches with xG: 23 goals from 24.5 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| RAAL La Louvière 1–2 Dender | 2.21–2.26 | 39% · 19% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Dender |
| Cercle Brugge 1–2 Standard Liege | 1.70–0.71 | 61% · 24% · 15% | Won against the xG: Standard Liege |
| Union Saint-Gilloise 1–1 Gent | 2.19–0.89 | 67% · 19% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Union Saint-Gilloise had 67% |
| St. Truiden 3–2 Club Brugge | 3.06–2.53 | 50% · 17% · 33% | Win in line with xG for St. Truiden |
| KV Mechelen 1–0 Charleroi | 0.91–0.97 | 32% · 32% · 36% | Close call, KV Mechelen won |
| KVC Westerlo 4–0 Anderlecht | 3.19–0.72 | 85% · 10% · 5% | Win in line with xG for KVC Westerlo |
| Antwerp 3–0 Genk | 1.35–0.64 | 54% · 28% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Antwerp |
| OH Leuven 1–1 Zulte Waregem | 1.06–0.09 | 62% · 35% · 3% | Draw against the xG: OH Leuven had 62% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.