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8 of 8 matches with xG: 25 goals from 25.9 xG (0.97 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege 0–1 OH Leuven | 0.64–1.70 | 14% · 23% · 63% | Win in line with xG for OH Leuven |
| Cercle Brugge 2–3 KV Mechelen | 2.02–1.60 | 48% · 21% · 31% | Close call, KV Mechelen won |
| Zulte Waregem 2–2 RAAL La Louvière | 1.73–1.12 | 52% · 24% · 25% | Draw against the xG: Zulte Waregem had 52% |
| Anderlecht 2–1 St. Truiden | 2.42–1.64 | 55% · 19% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Anderlecht |
| Gent 0–2 Antwerp | 0.78–1.45 | 20% · 27% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Antwerp |
| Dender 1–5 Club Brugge | 1.07–3.43 | 8% · 11% · 81% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| Charleroi 1–1 Union Saint-Gilloise | 1.16–1.35 | 32% · 27% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| Genk 1–1 KVC Westerlo | 2.98–0.81 | 81% · 12% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Genk had 81% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.