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8 of 8 matches with xG: 23 goals from 21.3 xG (1.08 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genk 3–5 Club Brugge | 1.63–1.22 | 47% · 24% · 29% | Won against the xG: Club Brugge |
| Cercle Brugge 1–1 Union Saint-Gilloise | 1.82–2.40 | 29% · 19% · 51% | Draw against the xG: Union Saint-Gilloise had 51% |
| Standard Liege 1–2 St. Truiden | 0.25–1.97 | 4% · 17% · 79% | Win in line with xG for St. Truiden |
| Anderlecht 1–2 Charleroi | 1.45–1.48 | 37% · 25% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Charleroi |
| Antwerp 2–1 Zulte Waregem | 0.81–1.24 | 24% · 29% · 46% | Won against the xG: Antwerp |
| RAAL La Louvière 0–0 OH Leuven | 1.56–0.95 | 52% · 25% · 23% | Draw against the xG: RAAL La Louvière had 52% |
| KV Mechelen 1–1 Dender | 0.83–1.34 | 23% · 28% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Gent 2–0 KVC Westerlo | 1.63–0.73 | 59% · 24% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Gent |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.