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8 of 8 matches with xG: 20 goals from 21.7 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege 0–4 Gent | 1.06–2.24 | 17% · 19% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Gent |
| RAAL La Louvière 1–2 St. Truiden | 0.69–1.29 | 20% · 29% · 51% | Win in line with xG for St. Truiden |
| Club Brugge 4–3 Zulte Waregem | 1.96–1.31 | 53% · 22% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| OH Leuven 0–0 Union Saint-Gilloise | 1.24–1.53 | 31% · 25% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
| Antwerp 0–2 Charleroi | 0.76–2.07 | 13% · 20% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Charleroi |
| Genk 1–1 Cercle Brugge | 0.93–0.47 | 45% · 37% · 18% | Draw in line with xG |
| Anderlecht 0–0 Dender | 1.75–0.92 | 57% · 23% · 20% | Draw against the xG: Anderlecht had 57% |
| KV Mechelen 1–1 KVC Westerlo | 2.46–0.99 | 70% · 17% · 13% | Draw against the xG: KV Mechelen had 70% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.