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8 of 8 matches with xG: 19 goals from 25.8 xG (0.74 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| RAAL La Louvière 1–1 Gent | 0.43–0.97 | 16% · 36% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
| Cercle Brugge 0–4 Antwerp | 0.18–3.99 | 0% · 3% · 97% | Win in line with xG for Antwerp |
| Zulte Waregem 0–1 KVC Westerlo | 1.58–1.96 | 31% · 22% · 47% | Win in line with xG for KVC Westerlo |
| St. Truiden 0–2 Charleroi | 1.02–1.02 | 35% · 30% · 35% | Close call, Charleroi won |
| Standard Liege 2–0 Anderlecht | 1.70–2.20 | 30% · 20% · 49% | Close call, Standard Liege won |
| Dender 1–2 Genk | 2.81–1.07 | 73% · 15% · 12% | Won against the xG: Genk |
| Union Saint-Gilloise 1–0 Club Brugge | 1.59–0.56 | 63% · 25% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| OH Leuven 2–2 KV Mechelen | 2.66–2.02 | 52% · 18% · 30% | Draw against the xG: OH Leuven had 52% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.