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8 of 8 matches with xG: 26 goals from 22.7 xG (1.15 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| KVC Westerlo 0–4 St. Truiden | 0.65–3.31 | 4% · 9% · 87% | Win in line with xG for St. Truiden |
| Zulte Waregem 1–0 Dender | 1.15–0.49 | 52% · 32% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Zulte Waregem |
| Charleroi 3–4 Cercle Brugge | 2.52–2.28 | 45% · 19% · 36% | Close call, Cercle Brugge won |
| Gent 1–3 OH Leuven | 1.52–2.24 | 26% · 20% · 54% | Win in line with xG for OH Leuven |
| Genk 2–0 Anderlecht | 1.07–0.62 | 46% · 33% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Genk |
| Union Saint-Gilloise 2–1 RAAL La Louvière | 1.60–0.86 | 55% · 25% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| Club Brugge 3–0 Standard Liege | 1.48–0.13 | 73% · 24% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| KV Mechelen 2–0 Antwerp | 1.66–1.08 | 51% · 24% · 25% | Win in line with xG for KV Mechelen |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.