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8 of 8 matches with xG: 27 goals from 25.8 xG (1.05 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| KV Mechelen 2–3 Genk | 1.71–2.99 | 20% · 16% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Genk |
| OH Leuven 3–2 Dender | 2.23–1.78 | 49% · 20% · 31% | Win in line with xG for OH Leuven |
| Charleroi 2–3 Gent | 1.47–2.84 | 18% · 16% · 66% | Win in line with xG for Gent |
| Standard Liege 1–1 Union Saint-Gilloise | 1.38–1.78 | 30% · 23% · 47% | Draw in line with xG |
| Cercle Brugge 1–2 Club Brugge | 1.05–1.00 | 36% · 30% · 34% | Close call, Club Brugge won |
| Antwerp 0–2 KVC Westerlo | 0.44–1.25 | 13% · 30% · 57% | Win in line with xG for KVC Westerlo |
| Anderlecht 0–0 RAAL La Louvière | 1.29–0.91 | 45% · 28% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| St. Truiden 3–2 Zulte Waregem | 2.61–1.09 | 70% · 16% · 14% | Win in line with xG for St. Truiden |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.