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8 of 8 matches with xG: 26 goals from 21.8 xG (1.19 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gent 0–1 Cercle Brugge | 0.30–2.49 | 3% · 12% · 85% | Win in line with xG for Cercle Brugge |
| Dender 1–4 St. Truiden | 0.57–0.83 | 23% · 38% · 39% | Win in line with xG for St. Truiden |
| Club Brugge 2–1 OH Leuven | 2.66–1.54 | 61% · 18% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| Union Saint-Gilloise 2–1 Antwerp | 2.07–0.69 | 70% · 19% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| Genk 0–3 Standard Liege | 1.30–0.99 | 44% · 28% · 28% | Won against the xG: Standard Liege |
| RAAL La Louvière 0–2 KV Mechelen | 0.30–0.65 | 15% · 47% · 39% | Close call, KV Mechelen won |
| Zulte Waregem 2–4 Anderlecht | 2.81–1.68 | 61% · 17% · 22% | Won against the xG: Anderlecht |
| KVC Westerlo 2–1 Charleroi | 2.03–0.88 | 64% · 20% · 15% | Win in line with xG for KVC Westerlo |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.