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3 of 6 matches with xG: 7 goals from 6.7 xG (1.05 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sampaio Corrêa RJ 2–1 Botafogo | 1.18–2.26 | 19% · 19% · 62% | Won against the xG: Sampaio Corrêa RJ |
| Fluminense 1–1 CFRJ / Maricá | 1.72–0.37 | 71% · 22% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Fluminense had 71% |
| Boavista SC 1–1 Vasco da Gama | 0.33–0.83 | 14% · 41% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.