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6 of 6 matches with xG: 18 goals from 17.6 xG (1.02 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFRJ / Maricá 2–0 Nova Iguaçu | 2.27–0.55 | 77% · 16% · 7% | Win in line with xG for CFRJ / Maricá |
| Bangu 0–5 Flamengo | 0.72–3.00 | 6% · 11% · 83% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Botafogo 1–2 Volta Redonda | 1.94–1.45 | 49% · 22% · 29% | Won against the xG: Volta Redonda |
| Boavista SC 1–1 Sampaio Corrêa RJ | 1.56–1.14 | 47% · 25% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Portuguesa RJ 1–3 Fluminense | 1.39–1.85 | 29% · 23% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Fluminense |
| Vasco da Gama 2–0 Madureira | 1.52–0.20 | 72% · 24% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Vasco da Gama |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.