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5 of 8 matches with xG: 14 goals from 14.8 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Primavera SP 3–4 Novorizontino | 1.26–1.93 | 25% · 22% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Novorizontino |
| Portuguesa 2–0 Velo Clube | 2.10–0.89 | 65% · 20% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Portuguesa |
| Capivariano 2–0 Ponte Preta | 2.09–0.42 | 77% · 17% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Capivariano |
| Palmeiras 1–0 Mirassol | 1.61–0.59 | 62% · 24% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| Guarani Campinas 1–1 Santos | 1.89–2.05 | 36% · 21% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.