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3 of 8 matches with xG: 6 goals from 6.2 xG (0.97 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guarani Campinas 1–0 Ponte Preta | 1.00–0.92 | 36% · 32% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Guarani Campinas |
| Primavera SP 1–2 Portuguesa | 0.78–1.27 | 23% · 29% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Portuguesa |
| Sao Paulo 2–0 Santos | 1.78–0.44 | 70% · 21% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Sao Paulo |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.