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10 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 23.4 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco da Gama 0–1 Cruzeiro | 1.13–0.50 | 51% · 32% · 16% | Won against the xG: Cruzeiro |
| Cuiaba 1–1 Bahia | 1.53–0.30 | 69% · 24% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Cuiaba had 69% |
| Atlético Mineiro 0–1 Corinthians | 1.56–0.74 | 57% · 25% · 18% | Won against the xG: Corinthians |
| Coritiba 3–1 America Mineiro | 1.53–0.86 | 53% · 26% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Coritiba |
| Palmeiras 1–1 Flamengo | 1.15–0.90 | 41% · 30% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Santos 4–3 Goias | 2.46–1.96 | 50% · 19% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Santos |
| Fluminense 2–0 Internacional | 1.12–0.41 | 54% · 33% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Fluminense |
| RB Bragantino 0–0 Sao Paulo | 1.53–0.46 | 64% · 25% · 11% | Draw against the xG: RB Bragantino had 64% |
| Gremio 0–2 Botafogo | 1.56–1.11 | 48% · 25% · 27% | Won against the xG: Botafogo |
| Fortaleza EC 1–0 Athletico Paranaense | 1.47–1.13 | 45% · 26% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Fortaleza EC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.