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10 of 10 matches with xG: 19 goals from 24.2 xG (0.79 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo 2–0 RB Bragantino | 0.95–1.12 | 31% · 30% · 39% | Close call, Botafogo won |
| Cruzeiro 0–0 Coritiba | 0.71–0.89 | 27% · 35% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fluminense 0–0 Flamengo | 1.48–0.46 | 63% · 26% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Fluminense had 63% |
| Sao Paulo 4–1 Santos | 3.53–1.17 | 81% · 11% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Sao Paulo |
| Fortaleza EC 0–1 Cuiaba | 0.99–0.59 | 44% · 35% · 21% | Won against the xG: Cuiaba |
| Internacional 0–0 Palmeiras | 0.52–1.38 | 14% · 28% · 58% | Draw against the xG: Palmeiras had 58% |
| Athletico Paranaense 2–0 Bahia | 2.18–0.95 | 65% · 19% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Athletico Paranaense |
| Goias 0–0 Atlético Mineiro | 1.62–0.36 | 69% · 23% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Goias had 69% |
| Corinthians 4–4 Gremio | 1.90–0.98 | 59% · 22% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Corinthians had 59% |
| America Mineiro 0–1 Vasco da Gama | 1.60–0.79 | 57% · 25% · 18% | Won against the xG: Vasco da Gama |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.