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Serie A 2023 xG Round-Up: Matchday 16

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Matches

Matchday 16 in xG

10 of 10 matches with xG: 19 goals from 22.9 xG (0.83 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Flamengo 1–1 America Mineiro2.86–1.3469% · 16% · 15%Draw against the xG: Flamengo had 69%
Palmeiras 3–1 Fortaleza EC1.09–1.0237% · 30% · 33%Win in line with xG for Palmeiras
Bahia 0–0 Corinthians1.43–0.1471% · 25% · 3%Draw against the xG: Bahia had 71%
Cuiaba 2–1 Sao Paulo2.07–0.6471% · 19% · 10%Win in line with xG for Cuiaba
Gremio 1–0 Atlético Mineiro0.65–0.9724% · 34% · 42%Won against the xG: Gremio
Santos 2–2 Botafogo0.90–0.7437% · 35% · 28%Draw in line with xG
RB Bragantino 0–0 Internacional0.95–0.8237% · 33% · 30%Draw in line with xG
Cruzeiro 0–1 Goias1.07–0.3255% · 34% · 11%Won against the xG: Goias
Vasco da Gama 0–2 Athletico Paranaense1.44–1.3340% · 25% · 35%Close call, Athletico Paranaense won
Coritiba 2–0 Fluminense1.99–1.1058% · 21% · 21%Win in line with xG for Coritiba

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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Matchday 15 · Matchday 17

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