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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 25.1 xG (0.96 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo 3–1 Internacional | 2.31–1.69 | 52% · 20% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo |
| Atlético Mineiro 1–0 Bahia | 1.04–0.84 | 39% · 32% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Atlético Mineiro |
| Corinthians 3–1 Coritiba | 2.39–0.87 | 71% · 17% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Corinthians |
| Gremio 2–1 Fluminense | 1.41–0.94 | 48% · 27% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Gremio |
| America Mineiro 0–1 Goias | 0.92–0.47 | 45% · 37% · 18% | Won against the xG: Goias |
| Flamengo 1–1 Sao Paulo | 1.40–0.77 | 52% · 27% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Flamengo had 52% |
| Fortaleza EC 4–0 Santos | 2.61–0.52 | 82% · 13% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Fortaleza EC |
| Palmeiras 1–0 Cruzeiro | 1.31–0.67 | 52% · 29% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| RB Bragantino 1–1 Vasco da Gama | 1.58–1.54 | 39% · 24% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| Athletico Paranaense 2–0 Cuiaba | 0.76–1.09 | 25% · 32% · 43% | Won against the xG: Athletico Paranaense |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.