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10 of 10 matches with xG: 21 goals from 22.1 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santos 1–1 Athletico Paranaense | 1.16–0.15 | 63% · 32% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Santos had 63% |
| Goias 1–0 Fortaleza EC | 0.87–0.67 | 38% · 36% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Goias |
| Internacional 2–2 Corinthians | 1.55–1.06 | 49% · 25% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fluminense 2–1 Palmeiras | 2.48–0.93 | 71% · 17% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Fluminense |
| Vasco da Gama 1–0 Gremio | 1.83–1.55 | 45% · 22% · 33% | Win in line with xG for Vasco da Gama |
| Sao Paulo 0–2 Atlético Mineiro | 0.86–1.91 | 16% · 22% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Atlético Mineiro |
| Cruzeiro 0–0 Botafogo | 0.96–0.08 | 59% · 38% · 3% | Draw against the xG: Cruzeiro had 59% |
| Coritiba 0–1 RB Bragantino | 0.42–1.00 | 15% · 35% · 49% | Win in line with xG for RB Bragantino |
| Bahia 3–1 America Mineiro | 1.53–0.56 | 61% · 25% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Bahia |
| Cuiaba 3–0 Flamengo | 1.87–0.71 | 65% · 22% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Cuiaba |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.