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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 24.0 xG (1.00 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo 0–0 Internacional | 0.45–0.24 | 30% · 56% · 14% | Draw in line with xG |
| Corinthians 1–1 Goias | 1.04–1.80 | 22% · 23% · 55% | Draw against the xG: Goias had 55% |
| RB Bragantino 2–0 Cuiaba | 1.39–0.44 | 61% · 27% · 12% | Win in line with xG for RB Bragantino |
| Botafogo 3–0 Bahia | 2.06–1.16 | 58% · 21% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo |
| Atlético Mineiro 2–0 Santos | 1.58–0.67 | 59% · 25% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Atlético Mineiro |
| America Mineiro 2–1 Sao Paulo | 1.32–1.31 | 37% · 26% · 37% | Win in line with xG for America Mineiro |
| Palmeiras 1–0 Vasco da Gama | 0.81–0.14 | 51% · 43% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| Athletico Paranaense 2–2 Fluminense | 0.90–2.93 | 9% · 13% · 79% | Draw against the xG: Fluminense had 79% |
| Fortaleza EC 3–1 Coritiba | 2.34–0.97 | 68% · 18% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Fortaleza EC |
| Gremio 3–0 Cruzeiro | 1.67–0.79 | 58% · 24% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Gremio |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.