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10 of 10 matches with xG: 32 goals from 33.6 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coritiba 1–1 Sao Paulo | 1.88–1.04 | 57% · 22% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Coritiba had 57% |
| Fortaleza EC 4–2 Fluminense | 5.57–1.37 | 93% · 4% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Fortaleza EC |
| Palmeiras 2–1 Corinthians | 1.43–0.47 | 61% · 27% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| Santos 3–2 America Mineiro | 1.82–1.71 | 41% · 22% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Santos |
| RB Bragantino 0–3 Cruzeiro | 1.06–2.03 | 19% · 21% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Cruzeiro |
| Atlético Mineiro 2–1 Athletico Paranaense | 1.99–0.59 | 71% · 19% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Atlético Mineiro |
| Flamengo 2–3 Botafogo | 3.34–2.45 | 56% · 16% · 28% | Won against the xG: Botafogo |
| Internacional 1–0 Goias | 0.95–0.72 | 39% · 34% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Internacional |
| Cuiaba 1–2 Gremio | 1.36–1.64 | 32% · 24% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Gremio |
| Vasco da Gama 0–1 Bahia | 0.91–1.27 | 27% · 29% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Bahia |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.