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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 22.2 xG (1.13 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense 2–0 Athletico Paranaense | 0.75–0.68 | 33% · 38% · 29% | Close call, Fluminense won |
| Sao Paulo 3–0 America Mineiro | 2.35–1.21 | 63% · 19% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Sao Paulo |
| Cuiaba 1–1 RB Bragantino | 1.22–0.89 | 44% · 29% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Cruzeiro 1–0 Gremio | 1.50–0.81 | 54% · 26% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Cruzeiro |
| Internacional 2–1 Flamengo | 1.02–1.43 | 27% · 27% · 46% | Won against the xG: Internacional |
| Vasco da Gama 2–2 Palmeiras | 1.71–0.76 | 60% · 24% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Vasco da Gama had 60% |
| Santos 0–0 Atlético Mineiro | 0.88–1.26 | 26% · 29% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
| Coritiba 0–3 Fortaleza EC | 0.72–2.60 | 8% · 14% · 78% | Win in line with xG for Fortaleza EC |
| Goias 3–1 Corinthians | 0.97–0.34 | 51% · 37% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Goias |
| Bahia 1–2 Botafogo | 0.91–0.20 | 53% · 39% · 8% | Won against the xG: Botafogo |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.