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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 29.7 xG (0.91 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santos 3–0 Bahia | 1.93–1.19 | 55% · 22% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Santos |
| RB Bragantino 2–2 America Mineiro | 1.62–1.98 | 32% · 22% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Internacional 0–2 Athletico Paranaense | 1.03–1.44 | 27% · 26% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Athletico Paranaense |
| Flamengo 2–0 Goias | 2.66–0.77 | 77% · 14% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Cuiaba 0–4 Atlético Mineiro | 0.28–2.68 | 2% · 10% · 88% | Win in line with xG for Atlético Mineiro |
| Palmeiras 4–1 Gremio | 4.37–0.08 | 98% · 2% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| Cruzeiro 0–2 Fluminense | 2.02–1.31 | 54% · 21% · 25% | Won against the xG: Fluminense |
| Coritiba 1–1 Vasco da Gama | 0.83–0.70 | 36% · 36% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Botafogo 3–0 Corinthians | 2.54–0.57 | 80% · 14% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo |
| Fortaleza EC 0–0 Sao Paulo | 0.88–0.80 | 35% · 34% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.