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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 26.2 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia 2–3 Flamengo | 1.03–2.53 | 13% · 17% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Fluminense 2–0 Cuiaba | 0.91–0.92 | 33% · 33% · 34% | Close call, Fluminense won |
| Palmeiras 1–1 RB Bragantino | 1.51–1.15 | 46% · 26% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Atlético Mineiro 2–0 Internacional | 1.64–0.30 | 71% · 22% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Atlético Mineiro |
| Vasco da Gama 0–1 Santos | 1.51–0.71 | 56% · 26% · 18% | Won against the xG: Santos |
| Corinthians 1–1 Sao Paulo | 0.96–0.86 | 36% · 33% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Gremio 0–0 Fortaleza EC | 0.69–0.60 | 33% · 40% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Goias 2–1 Botafogo | 1.90–1.54 | 46% · 22% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Goias |
| Athletico Paranaense 3–2 Coritiba | 3.13–0.32 | 91% · 7% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Athletico Paranaense |
| America Mineiro 0–4 Cruzeiro | 1.26–2.72 | 15% · 16% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Cruzeiro |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.