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Serie A 2024 xG Round-Up: Matchday 1

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Matches

Matchday 1 in xG

10 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 21.6 xG (1.29 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Internacional 2–1 Bahia1.89–0.7066% · 21% · 13%Win in line with xG for Internacional
Criciuma 1–1 Juventude0.71–0.5734% · 40% · 26%Draw in line with xG
Fluminense 2–2 RB Bragantino1.76–1.1651% · 23% · 25%Draw against the xG: Fluminense had 51%
Sao Paulo 1–2 Fortaleza EC0.53–0.3631% · 49% · 19%Close call, Fortaleza EC won
Vasco da Gama 2–1 Gremio0.90–1.2427% · 29% · 44%Won against the xG: Vasco da Gama
Corinthians 0–0 Atlético Mineiro0.46–0.3229% · 53% · 19%Draw in line with xG
Athletico Paranaense 4–0 Cuiaba1.96–0.3177% · 18% · 5%Win in line with xG for Athletico Paranaense
Atletico Goianiense 1–2 Flamengo1.62–1.2147% · 25% · 29%Won against the xG: Flamengo
Cruzeiro 3–2 Botafogo1.65–2.0332% · 21% · 47%Close call, Cruzeiro won
Vitoria 0–1 Palmeiras1.39–0.8649% · 27% · 23%Won against the xG: Palmeiras

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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