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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 23.2 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo 1–1 Athletico Paranaense | 0.62–1.48 | 16% · 26% · 58% | Draw against the xG: Athletico Paranaense had 58% |
| Atletico Goianiense 1–2 Criciuma | 0.64–1.51 | 16% · 26% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Criciuma |
| Sao Paulo 0–1 Cuiaba | 0.87–0.48 | 43% · 38% · 19% | Won against the xG: Cuiaba |
| Fortaleza EC 1–0 Gremio | 1.71–1.01 | 54% · 24% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Fortaleza EC |
| Juventude 2–0 Vasco da Gama | 1.34–0.32 | 63% · 28% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Juventude |
| Internacional 1–0 Corinthians | 0.52–0.82 | 22% · 39% · 40% | Won against the xG: Internacional |
| Cruzeiro 2–0 Fluminense | 1.82–0.31 | 75% · 20% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Cruzeiro |
| Vitoria 4–2 Atlético Mineiro | 1.47–1.91 | 30% · 22% · 48% | Won against the xG: Vitoria |
| Flamengo 2–1 Bahia | 1.09–0.75 | 43% · 32% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Palmeiras 2–1 RB Bragantino | 3.16–1.40 | 72% · 14% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.