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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 23.8 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Criciuma 2–1 Botafogo | 1.27–0.71 | 50% · 29% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Criciuma |
| Gremio 0–1 Internacional | 0.51–1.14 | 17% · 32% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Internacional |
| Cuiaba 0–0 Atletico Goianiense | 0.91–0.72 | 38% · 35% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Vasco da Gama 4–1 Sao Paulo | 1.28–0.36 | 60% · 29% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Vasco da Gama |
| Bahia 4–1 Cruzeiro | 2.72–0.70 | 80% · 13% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Bahia |
| Fluminense 0–1 Flamengo | 0.26–2.00 | 4% · 17% · 79% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Athletico Paranaense 1–1 Corinthians | 1.42–1.18 | 43% · 26% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Atlético Mineiro 1–1 Fortaleza EC | 0.90–1.29 | 26% · 28% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Palmeiras 3–1 Juventude | 2.88–1.37 | 69% · 16% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| RB Bragantino 2–1 Vitoria | 1.47–0.68 | 56% · 27% · 17% | Win in line with xG for RB Bragantino |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.